South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19909dc182745a8b822c2c44b85ea740a423105adfc26451bb7e627534961f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce8c…b566backed No | 0c | 14,884$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,421$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 31c | 7,100$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 16c | 4,613$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.06 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 3,650$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 2,326$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 2,295$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,880$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…f823backed Yes | 20c | 1,790$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.72 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 1,130$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.57 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 27c | 945.29$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.29 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 890.59$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.51 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 840.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 2c | 722.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 31c | 680.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.65 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 633.67$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 495.39$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…9f7abacked Yes | 20c | 495$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 442.6$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 35c | 422$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 68c | 415.09$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7520…0f35backed Yes | 31c | 354.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 334.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 331.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 30c | 330.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 31c | 303.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.23 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 31c | 302.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 260$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 214.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 32c | 192.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 184.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 172.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 69c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 27c | 140.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 139.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 138.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 137.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 118.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…e011backed Yes | 78c | 105.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 78c | 101.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 38c | 97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 93.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 88.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…590cbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 32c | 73.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 72.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…cb37backed Yes | 31c | 72.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 60c | 70.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 18c | 69.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 65.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 30c | 63.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 63.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed No | 77c | 61.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 69c | 59.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…9e46backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…1683backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 69c | 46.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 69c | 44.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…8ebabacked Yes | 30c | 43.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 29c | 43.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 27c | 41.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 70c | 41.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 28c | 39.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 71c | 34.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac10…57c8backed Yes | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 30.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.