South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4dfbfea77e2ae078dc927693e37e483aefd314447b2a7a5e91e344003d4eff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 4c | 2,991$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,822$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,732$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.03 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 970.78$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 745.74$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 633.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 613.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 598.54$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked No | 44c | 454.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 411.19$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 384.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 356.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 47c | 287.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 270.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 53c | 236.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 74c | 203.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 192$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 169.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 168.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 152.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 47c | 146.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 139.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 136.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 117.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 103.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked Yes | 30c | 87.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 85.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 85.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 51.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 40c | 40.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 37.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 61c | 35.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 71c | 34.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 70c | 24.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 79c | 23.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 64c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.