South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0db35225189d3944b1b557a011ccea69dedb6cd1a9c5340f8292e74b2bc7ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 20c | 24,770$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,913.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 8,217$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 6,932$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.07 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 57c | 3,235$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.95 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 3,133$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 15c | 3,109$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.17 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,087$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.11 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 1,851$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.83 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 1,296$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.86 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 70c | 1,121$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.57 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 67c | 981.24$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 939.98$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 665.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.11 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 46c | 540.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.46 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 506.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 341.52$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 17c | 289.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 281.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 17c | 279.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 269.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 15c | 237.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Yes | 15c | 221.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 16c | 195.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 52c | 190.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 35c | 173.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 160.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 29c | 157.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 16c | 151.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 18c | 139.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 70c | 138.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 14c | 135.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 18c | 134.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 50c | 118.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…6fa5backed Yes | 15c | 116.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 55c | 113.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 39c | 111.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 106.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 11c | 106.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 17c | 100.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Yes | 17c | 83.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 15c | 79.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed No | 27c | 77.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 62c | 56.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked No | 28c | 51.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 46c | 46.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 42c | 43.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 80c | 40.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 80c | 40.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 53c | 38.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…2474backed No | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…5a0ebacked Yes | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 66c | 32.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…a096backed Yes | 76c | 31.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 63c | 27.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 55c | 26.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 47c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 54c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.