South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de07492ba77fcd67e0ad18533d6071320a8033ff89b4210acb642fe84bb48de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 12,039$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.89 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 11,571$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 55c | 2,776$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.03 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,923$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 1,361$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.81 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 6c | 751.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 702.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 29c | 606.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Over | 42c | 593.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 578.9$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.37 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 33c | 515.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.12 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 16c | 459.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 43c | 428.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 72c | 420.82$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 36c | 399.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 50c | 362.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 17c | 350$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 51c | 301.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 282.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 273.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 54c | 225.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 47c | 201.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 26c | 197.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 175.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Over | 45c | 175.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 41c | 152.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 150.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 41c | 117.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 45c | 117.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 60c | 116.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 55c | 97.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 93.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 55c | 92.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 85.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 56.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 53.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…3003backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 51c | 41.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 49c | 37.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 71c | 36.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 53c | 35.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed Over | 46c | 27.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 27.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 54c | 19.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Under | 75c | 17.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…0983backed Under | 69c | 16.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.