South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0830bf3a01f38c54b5ec2af9bd707022de9c463aa6f87bd9a7349a08635a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Universidad Católicaof Cruzeiro EC, CD Universidad Católica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 3,169$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.69 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 2,036$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 1,530$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.73 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 1,469$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.81 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked CD Universidad Católica | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Cruzeiro EC | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 644.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 644.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 644.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 644.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 644.18$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 468.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 449.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 362.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cruzeiro EC | 37c | 299.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Cruzeiro EC | 44c | 243.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Cruzeiro EC | 42c | 228.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 186.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed CD Universidad Católica | 56c | 167.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Universidad Católica | 58c | 137.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 77.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Cruzeiro EC | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Cruzeiro EC | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Universidad Católica | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Cruzeiro EC | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 43.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed CD Universidad Católica | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 32.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Cruzeiro EC | 42c | 30.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cruzeiro EC | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Universidad Católica | 59c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CD Universidad Católica | 62c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.