TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$765,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$836,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Monte60c50,000$29,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,002.650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN48c47,254$22,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,881.471,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed paiN39c25,073$9,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,830.7833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Monte52c22,746$11,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,882.2341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN42c22,112$9,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,318.232,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Monte58c20,500$11,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,61025555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Monte61c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed paiN41c17,261$7,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,064.3923243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.9676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN51c13,968$7,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.4381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Monte58c13,000$7,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,46075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed paiN40c12,283$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.047157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed paiN23c9,518$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.9723839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed paiN44c8,953$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.2588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Monte60c8,889$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed paiN39c8,615$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.734136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed paiN61c8,178$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.3210359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Monte70c8,000$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.3610560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed paiN40c7,688$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.141010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid+32.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Monte59c7,636$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.7535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Monte52c7,363$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.3637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN45c6,926$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.571,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN41c6,752$2,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.721,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN43c6,380$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.671,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN31c6,331$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.2522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked paiN15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x925d…ca00backed Monte58c5,856$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.91866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Monte58c5,612$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.965658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Monte59c5,555$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.5515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Monte60c5,167$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.676266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed Monte45c5,092$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.7214949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Monte61c5,046$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.0126155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Monte54c4,983$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.2934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed paiN1c4,919$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…be0cbacked Monte59c4,578$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN43c4,523$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.622,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte61c4,500$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.4937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Monte46c4,492$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.138038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Monte58c4,343$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.6281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked paiN45c4,330$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.0711947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN45c4,049$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.275,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked paiN63c3,921$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.2222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed paiN41c3,798$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.4587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed paiN10c3,673$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.67439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed paiN41c3,503$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.8219659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Monte59c3,347$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.8415053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Monte60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.213357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed paiN39c3,206$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.4146149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Monte59c3,150$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed Monte42c3,071$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.296546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Monte60c3,070$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.7521854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed paiN2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Monte61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed paiN41c2,931$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.0632732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Monte56c2,900$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28185851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked paiN48c2,800$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.711,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked paiN38c2,755$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.367424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdf7…a6c3backed Monte40c2,729$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.172240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed paiN1c2,700$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Monte71c2,667$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.810449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Monte61c2,572$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.915749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked paiN30c2,526$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed paiN2c2,400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Monte60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Monte54c2,200$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02335460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed paiN46c2,188$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.8213655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte58c2,127$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.041,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed paiN39c2,087$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.9223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Monte56c2,054$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.1515155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed paiN36c2,022$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Monte59c1,978$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.982751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Monte37c1,930$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.4618338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3e…d91ebacked paiN39c1,880$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked paiN42c1,740$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.775837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed paiN40c1,696$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.6213743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked Monte57c1,638$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.46567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Monte57c1,609$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.119549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN62c1,608$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.547,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed paiN47c1,600$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Monte61c1,571$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.6312259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked paiN2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed paiN42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63014847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Monte41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88518056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed paiN2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed paiN2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked paiN2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed paiN39c1,476$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.74440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Monte51c1,467$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.5820958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed paiN41c1,389$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.411151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed paiN14c1,371$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.946136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed paiN44c1,321$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.972,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Monte50c1,311$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.5911949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Monte46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3510337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Monte58c1,297$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1527749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte53c1,294$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.992,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed paiN47c1,287$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed paiN12c1,283$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN42c1,270$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Monte50c1,269$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.5435242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.