CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa123120ab6d715528c3f8432f234610fa67694dbbcfb56d5a006ea1b7e0f6e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Monte, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Monte | 59c | 30,378$17,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,591.96 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Monte | 30c | 10,314$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.62 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN | 70c | 10,238$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.28 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed paiN | 42c | 9,136$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.12 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed paiN | 41c | 7,654$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.54 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked paiN | 41c | 3,974$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.3 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN | 42c | 2,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.69 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed paiN | 41c | 1,695$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Monte | 31c | 1,523$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.03 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked paiN | 47c | 1,328$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.69 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed paiN | 70c | 1,214$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.16 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed paiN | 42c | 1,117$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Monte | 29c | 1,052$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.72 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked paiN | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.09 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 71c | 888$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.48 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed paiN | 72c | 829.81$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Monte | 28c | 813.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.46 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked paiN | 78c | 789.85$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed paiN | 41c | 772.91$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.89 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…0c7dbacked Monte | 60c | 737.78$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed paiN | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked paiN | 70c | 723.01$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.34 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Monte | 27c | 699.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed paiN | 41c | 640.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Monte | 27c | 635.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed paiN | 71c | 607.35$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.32 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 41c | 536.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Monte | 31c | 501.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed paiN | 70c | 500.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.07 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed paiN | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Monte | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed paiN | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed paiN | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN | 71c | 420.57$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed paiN | 71c | 416.72$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked paiN | 45c | 355.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Monte | 30c | 283.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed paiN | 69c | 282$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed paiN | 44c | 281.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed paiN | 69c | 278$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Monte | 30c | 273.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed paiN | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked paiN | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked paiN | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed paiN | 69c | 228.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked paiN | 71c | 212.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Monte | 29c | 211.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed paiN | 71c | 210$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Monte | 28c | 205$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed paiN | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…3b2fbacked Monte | 37c | 195.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Monte | 30c | 185.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed paiN | 46c | 172.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed Monte | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed paiN | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed paiN | 41c | 168.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Monte | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…c096backed Monte | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…e548backed paiN | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed paiN | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed paiN | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed paiN | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked paiN | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Monte | 31c | 134.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed paiN | 72c | 126.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Monte | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed paiN | 59c | 121.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Monte | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Monte | 52c | 112.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed paiN | 30c | 110.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed paiN | 30c | 110.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Monte | 30c | 110.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Monte | 29c | 109.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Monte | 28c | 107.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked paiN | 55c | 107.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed paiN | 41c | 105.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked paiN | 25c | 105.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed paiN | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Monte | 30c | 102.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…6bdfbacked Monte | 61c | 102.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Monte | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked paiN | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Monte | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked paiN | 52c | 93.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN | 37c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed paiN | 39c | 86.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked paiN | 50c | 86.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Monte | 39c | 77.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed paiN | 41c | 73.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Monte | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed paiN | 35c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed paiN | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Monte | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked paiN | 41c | 47.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Monte | 31c | 47.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Monte | 28c | 46.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed paiN | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…3797backed Monte | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Monte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.