TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under54c13,318$7,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,125.3388242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…0c18backed Over50c8,018$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over51c6,149$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.6630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over41c5,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.555658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Under47c2,369$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.588038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under51c1,832$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.545,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c1,573$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.672,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under48c1,433$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4813351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under51c1,182$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.572,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Over50c1,035$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1720562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under51c1,035$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.0514044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over25c815.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8326653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under51c699.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34310644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over43c649.85$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.521,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32525747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over48c540.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over49c531.54$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9917946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Under51c503.08$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.517250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x836e…95fbbacked Over53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.991631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a8…a8adbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed Over47c406.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19899148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over57c378.31$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.591,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.427753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad3…4a42backed Under59c221.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Under51c213.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.575759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over50c213$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Over50c212.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.399047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa476…5e6dbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+64.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under50c199.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under48c197.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.920353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Under53c189.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1710556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Over47c174.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over64c156.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Over49c156.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8740639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over49c156.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5828549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over39c152.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49247.8%44 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8326048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7074054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Over49c134$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6611151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over49c121.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7142149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over51c110.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.171,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Over49c101.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c100.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.160451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Over47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a3…ea15backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under48c95.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.837546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a9…5dd9backed Over50c85.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over37c80.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Under63c79.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4917456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d64…9190backed Over50c60.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.481246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b10…89b6backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304161%25 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.49447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over59c58.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.858745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under50c57.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5611358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2766…b43ebacked Over55c55.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Over69c50.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.974250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Over48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over51c49.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under49c41.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.373,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b8e…c750backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over50c40.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0828651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015246.7%71 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…3797backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Under56c39.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0fb…e693backed Under60c33.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c33.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6124544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.262,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.356454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c29.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3f…62c2backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8428…3faabacked Over53c28.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under39c26.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.133,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.648160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over45c23.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under52c21.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5211045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…2cf6backed Over50c20.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24875%36 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.