TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$527,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed paiN57c40,000$22,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,753.9450054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN18c22,645$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.411,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Monte43c19,792$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,190.7347147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed paiN56c17,805$9,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,938.3133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Monte43c13,650$5,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,780.513043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked paiN55c13,100$7,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.9938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked paiN66c12,632$8,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,354.9941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN9c11,250$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Monte41c10,415$4,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.3434559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked paiN33c10,151$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.1414947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Monte43c10,132$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,779.3123243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte71c9,190$6,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.251,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked paiN41c9,000$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.5725555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Monte61c8,845$5,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.329443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f90…8ed1backed Monte61c7,663$4,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.532955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte58c7,132$4,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.6888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Monte67c6,760$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.9810560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Monte43c6,430$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.065347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed paiN51c6,033$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.1637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Monte57c5,481$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.0322449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed paiN52c5,201$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.4521945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed paiN51c5,008$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.0875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked paiN52c4,623$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.931,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte62c4,500$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.4937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed paiN53c4,107$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.8746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked paiN46c3,995$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte43c3,245$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.222,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte57c3,168$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.341,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Monte47c3,141$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.762,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed paiN47c3,086$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4506546.2%30 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed paiN21c3,049$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.9221135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Monte48c2,839$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.6735460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte64c2,795$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.121,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte58c2,649$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.581843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed paiN56c2,638$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.47157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed paiN57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Monte47c2,603$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.6561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Monte46c2,581$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.3681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked paiN39c2,561$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.077536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Monte35c2,467$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.8215749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN34c2,385$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.775,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked paiN39c2,342$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90235745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed paiN63c2,222$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8413357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN36c2,162$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.16,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked paiN55c2,002$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.72850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte51c1,978$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.81,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed paiN51c1,961$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…c096backed Monte37c1,920$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.842045%9 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb410…e482backed Monte62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Monte53c1,790$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.8987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Monte44c1,580$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.245459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed paiN65c1,478$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.5528254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked paiN42c1,461$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.9415053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Monte47c1,448$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9414044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Monte49c1,404$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0719546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Monte55c1,402$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.321,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed paiN38c1,389$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.826136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked paiN42c1,347$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.869549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0487…33bdbacked Monte75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked paiN48c1,327$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed paiN49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed Monte53c1,282$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.279826.5%26 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed paiN13c1,250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked paiN29c1,223$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed paiN55c1,157$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.5742651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed paiN54c1,072$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57937850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN42c1,060$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.914,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked paiN50c1,060$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Monte43c1,039$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2217250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed paiN51c1,036$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6511949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed paiN57c1,014$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0926155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed paiN34c1,000$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9536837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Monte53c1,000$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4726330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Monte53c1,000$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4727920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Monte53c1,000$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47221741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Monte53c1,000$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4725927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed paiN1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed paiN18c1,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Monte73c999.99$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26511758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN23c979.46$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.634,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Monte35c978.31$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4212259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed paiN51c937.3$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3818338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Monte54c915.23$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.918432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Monte48c912.65$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.339548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked paiN40c905$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36228443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Monte51c885.67$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6744939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked paiN46c844.12$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.478038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN8c834.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed Monte46c828$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.121866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed paiN37c826.25$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9921143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a8…a8adbacked paiN51c813.73$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Monte46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8735953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Monte45c756$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked paiN40c751.73$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked paiN50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3754949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed paiN9c736.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.257716.9%13 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed paiN14c724.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Monte27c717.78$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.9816633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed paiN28c716.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.