TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No42c4,883$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.019348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes58c3,685$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.012263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No46c1,713$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.651,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked No45c1,534$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.342937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No42c863.89$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No42c733.46$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8833049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.666145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No45c683.84$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Yes53c298.58$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Yes58c293.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.11872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x668c…c966backed Yes58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed Yes58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Yes57c263.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed No43c199.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9930544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x841f…bbd0backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes55c185.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes54c182.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9112541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Yes58c172.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.618540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No43c153.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9414148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.510954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9382…a673backed Yes55c136.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Yes58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.312272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb413…388bbacked Yes58c114.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c105.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.614259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Yes55c91.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.274759.6%28 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4395backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No43c86.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3910244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…cf0cbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes58c78.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9915846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b3…fec6backed Yes57c77.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Yes55c68.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.674949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055c…6a54backed Yes52c68.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+91.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked No45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306524.6%16 W · 49 L-11.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No43c63.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4326755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c43…31c1backed Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.512044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda94…f072backed Yes55c59.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No44c56.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8633556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…591abacked Yes55c54.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92fc…a829backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.554100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes56c53.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2911450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.727546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a51…4ef6backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Yes58c42.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.852548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa231…a91ebacked Yes58c39.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c7…1575backed Yes58c37.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…cd44backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes59c37.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.292653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015f…0967backed Yes55c35.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0911645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.488100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc94…a3b6backed Yes58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…cfacbacked No43c27.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ec…a28ebacked Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Yes57c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Yes57c24.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a9e…5347backed Yes57c22.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.811637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c22.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…20c4backed Yes58c22.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes58c20.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.635850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f48…8275backed Yes73c20.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.494156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.67751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes58c18.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.