TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fc8…cfac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$87.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.9
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.35
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 6backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.84
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.88
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$96.53
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.71
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$194.79
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$61.33
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$52.99
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.