TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports40c37,045$14,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,825.731,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX57c8,266$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.071,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 3DMAX63c7,467$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.3338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX56c6,664$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,93859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed 3DMAX45c5,779$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.9719451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX71c5,266$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX68c5,242$3,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.011,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports61c5,226$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.152,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 3DMAX61c4,900$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.431,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed 3DMAX58c4,736$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.4540264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX62c4,505$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.171,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed FUT Esports39c3,866$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports52c3,853$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.687,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 3DMAX40c3,587$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15041040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed 3DMAX58c3,349$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.196271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed FUT Esports37c2,496$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.482070%14 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+68.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FUT Esports43c2,460$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.342,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed FUT Esports47c2,443$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1481747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX57c2,086$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.745,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FUT Esports62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed 3DMAX40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports23c1,961$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.982,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked 3DMAX44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.1817250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 3DMAX56c1,780$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.093,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FUT Esports53c1,772$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.695,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked 3DMAX37c1,711$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.2222447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked 3DMAX63c1,710$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.913161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked 3DMAX61c1,670$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.35052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports60c1,629$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.21,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 3DMAX37c1,545$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5615838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed 3DMAX65c1,541$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5619061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports32c1,479$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.542,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed FUT Esports62c1,452$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked 3DMAX49c1,444$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.2319457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked FUT Esports46c1,431$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.415850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports38c1,374$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.052,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked 3DMAX44c1,351$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.1248948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed 3DMAX38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9255845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…3c4cbacked FUT Esports57c1,275$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.753857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FUT Esports47c1,207$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.341,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed FUT Esports60c1,200$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed FUT Esports30c1,137$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5321143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 3DMAX45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1114147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX44c1,105$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.6326045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed FUT Esports50c1,076$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53717163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 3DMAX72c1,022$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8640253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed 3DMAX44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed FUT Esports44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4408652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed 3DMAX48c999.99$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.9916749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports7c981$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.152,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed 3DMAX62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.742751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed 3DMAX57c881.4$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4858745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked 3DMAX47c876$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.286944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed FUT Esports56c863.18$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.753745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 3DMAX60c850.01$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.362,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX63c821.61$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.691,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 3DMAX40c813.23$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked 3DMAX62c807.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2719357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked 3DMAX38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.478534.1%29 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked 3DMAX56c781.48$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.859335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed FUT Esports54c750$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40514439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports37c700.1$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.452,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked 3DMAX59c694.16$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2658745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd00b…8897backed FUT Esports58c690.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed FUT Esports38c665.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked 3DMAX57c659.55$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3875245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked FUT Esports48c653.65$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed FUT Esports45c638.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.397638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed FUT Esports63c634.9$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked FUT Esports62c599$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.388556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked FUT Esports41c597.9$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FUT Esports42c559.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.21,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FUT Esports60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked FUT Esports37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18519443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked 3DMAX62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19035744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed 3DMAX73c500$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.641475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports41c484.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked 3DMAX50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23022454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 3DMAX61c438.27$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.682,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked 3DMAX49c400.06$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.527045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked FUT Esports41c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed FUT Esports63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed FUT Esports35c385.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5872139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed FUT Esports52c383$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7451446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 3DMAX50c378.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.833,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked FUT Esports53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 3DMAX76c371.26$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4654732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FUT Esports61c359.59$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked 3DMAX38c357.76$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.818351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed FUT Esports26c339.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9422346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed FUT Esports61c330.57$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6521752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 3DMAX45c326$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7065…d555backed FUT Esports10c312.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked FUT Esports55c301.82$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16635745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed 3DMAX62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11468753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed 3DMAX61c290.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.392556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed FUT Esports27c280.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.788134.6%28 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports43c278.37$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.754,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.