CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d7aa4a9b32c5a5a7e576d19bb456cfb9f16d1a7c8f4e09150646329e1ee815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof FUT Esports, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX | 56c | 21,045$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,286.39 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed 3DMAX | 56c | 16,218$9,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,198.19 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 10,371$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.08 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 45c | 3,502$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FUT Esports | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 56c | 2,575$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.44 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FUT Esports | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed FUT Esports | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FUT Esports | 44c | 1,686$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.39 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 3DMAX | 56c | 1,496$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.79 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 1,446$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 1,024$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.12 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed 3DMAX | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed 3DMAX | 55c | 639.38$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FUT Esports | 45c | 600.03$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.01 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed 3DMAX | 55c | 599.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FUT Esports | 44c | 520$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed FUT Esports | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 500.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed FUT Esports | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 428$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed 3DMAX | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 375$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed FUT Esports | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed 3DMAX | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed FUT Esports | 26c | 234.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed 3DMAX | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed 3DMAX | 55c | 165.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked FUT Esports | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed FUT Esports | 46c | 147.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 147$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed FUT Esports | 42c | 137$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked 3DMAX | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed FUT Esports | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed FUT Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed 3DMAX | 60c | 99.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 3DMAX | 55c | 98.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FUT Esports | 45c | 98.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed 3DMAX | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked FUT Esports | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed FUT Esports | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…3e4cbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 81.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed FUT Esports | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX | 55c | 69.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…5dbebacked FUT Esports | 46c | 61.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 55.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FUT Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 3DMAX | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed 3DMAX | 55c | 48.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed 3DMAX | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 44.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…c70ebacked FUT Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c530backed FUT Esports | 45c | 39.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 27c | 37.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FUT Esports | 43c | 35.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed 3DMAX | 56c | 33.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed 3DMAX | 64c | 32.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed FUT Esports | 47c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed FUT Esports | 39c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 3DMAX | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 3DMAX | 55c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.