CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c5a3624963472e20e7d9266bbaa44df871bba57e786b417a7faa3fa6cd0ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 34c | 1,011$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.45 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 776.79$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.68 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 70c | 578.31$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.82 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 331.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 329.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 51c | 284$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Over | 50c | 220.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 37c | 190.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 179.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Over | 66c | 171.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 167.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 63c | 130.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 124.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 52c | 123.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 57c | 119.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…61c8backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 56c | 97.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 56c | 94.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 42c | 89.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 58c | 85.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 82.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 38c | 65.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 58.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 44c | 51.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 23c | 51.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 34.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…5952backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 74c | 27.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Under | 42c | 26.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)3DMAX won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.