TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over60c34,331$20,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,732.32065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Under0c33,955$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c15,899$6,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,304.642,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c13,628$6,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,964.34,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…931abacked Over59c9,929$5,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,082.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c8,028$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.631,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under39c7,543$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.779244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c7,438$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.7982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Over58c6,650$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c6,071$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.713,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c4,484$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c4,019$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.5612650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over21c3,993$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.425330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under40c2,851$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.2215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over47c2,850$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.53847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under40c2,598$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under40c2,491$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.376944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over42c2,288$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.2917530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over23c2,052$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8207561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.945253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Under41c1,973$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.071060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over62c1,646$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.382060%12 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over44c1,318$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under48c1,306$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1315446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Over59c1,297$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6122714.8%4 W · 23 L-6.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.313054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under6c1,125$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.82913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c1,113$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.611,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over60c1,087$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9663757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over45c1,074$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.944742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over45c1,057$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under15c1,050$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over59c1,020$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2211345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Over60c1,009$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.43540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over62c921.33$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over46c901.38$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.336848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over59c795.38$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.177850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over26c769.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.222040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c758.56$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9520360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over25c744.9$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.686543.1%28 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under12c739.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.233013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1311457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c694.71$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.69564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c688.85$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.911,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under64c650.27$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.152626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over51c645.76$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over62c630.45$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5713263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under42c607$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+144.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662020%4 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+216.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c589.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over23c553.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.515339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c548.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c500$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.51,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over38c499.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.999641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c486.47$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under41c484.95$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.25172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under42c480.37$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7610464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under42c470.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.775662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under15c465$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.75248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under16c449.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under46c434.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c433.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33533.8%2 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under58c431.93$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5411266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under42c427.34$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c425.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.987954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over49c414.89$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over57c410.95$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under39c397.31$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.957667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under37c395.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c382.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5917458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under42c378.49$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4419260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c372.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.889071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c309.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over64c306.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.884170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over40c303.66$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.222729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c303.29$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c302.54$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c300$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28860732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over33c294.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.235743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under42c288.8$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under42c283.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6617659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over60c278.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over63c269.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under42c264.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2716456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Under65c260.41$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10075051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over60c249.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.