South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65aaa403f7e6408809bb37c529642dcef0a3faf79925156c65cba440b5c93d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 10c | 10,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 30c | 3,427$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,041$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 36c | 2,498$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.4 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 71c | 1,515$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.09 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 40c | 1,352$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,319$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 55c | 1,161$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 21c | 688.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 582.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.73 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 479.95$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 390.6$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Over | 55c | 374.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 37c | 276.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Over | 11c | 275.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 234.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 80c | 203.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 64c | 187.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 68c | 187.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 65c | 175.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 72c | 155.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 130.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 74c | 108.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 18c | 104.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 19cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 11c | 102.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 38c | 101.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…3bd0backed Over | 11c | 96.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Over | 12c | 84.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 52c | 83.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 47c | 72.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…9ac8backed Over | 30c | 67.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 55.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 60c | 54.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 60c | 54.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 23c | 50.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 76c | 49.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 79c | 47.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 66c | 46.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 74c | 43.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 41.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 66c | 39.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 59c | 36.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 62c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…c0ddbacked Over | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Over | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 70c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.