South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4703d3f5e21a8a44d8c1e6c037ab9b16898abd90caba9ef8e92627f29bf0d3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 1,275$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.35 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,246$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 24c | 699.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 396.83$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 65c | 292.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…cfb5backed Under | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 103.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 77c | 70.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 77c | 55.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 40c | 35.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 41c | 34.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…b973backed Under | 65c | 34.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…0ef8backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…7673backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…b1ccbacked Under | 59c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 60c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Under | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.