Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1896914d48ffe35ef393600f6ff6c7f3772612093135d687cd8fc2fc025284de

Rebuilt 44 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $64,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,977 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	28c	6,779$1,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,873.75	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes	38c	3,607$1,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,223.76	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf498…6f2bbacked Yes	33c	2,366$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.78	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.99	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No	69c	2,000$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.98	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	62c	1,906$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.04	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9701…dd5fbacked Yes	42c	1,411$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.28	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…ff53backed Yes	37c	1,203$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.08	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	35c	1,200$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1988…5da9backed No	58c	1,173$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	60c	1,128$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.4	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	60c	1,046$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.18	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked No	58c	1,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	39c	963.18$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.78	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafab…8991backed Yes	41c	903.64$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.13	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	67c	882$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592.44	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes	41c	826.48$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.29	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7db…569dbacked Yes	39c	819.57$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.57	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked No	64c	812.48$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.01	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed No	64c	785.77$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No	63c	769.38$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.71	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	64c	756.45$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.78	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed No	70c	700$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.85	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	40c	676.22$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.5	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	75c	626.49$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.12	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	35c	605.98$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.89	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No	65c	601.34$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.79	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No	66c	599.92$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.47	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	32c	564$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.58	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	29c	562.67$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.87	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	26c	523.63$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.12	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked No	67c	499$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.63	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8e…435cbacked Yes	37c	478.22$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.82	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	67c	472.96$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.88	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	56c	450$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.32	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No	56c	446.51$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.7	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	68c	442.22$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.65	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No	64c	438.89$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.62	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032d…7168backed Yes	39c	428.24$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.51	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed No	61c	411.36$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes	41c	410.57$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.23	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No	80c	404$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.06	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes	37c	399.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.99	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed No	65c	353.21$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.52	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	20c	351.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.12	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes	35c	335.54$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.1	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x025c…bd0dbacked No	14c	328.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	40c	320.68$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.9	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes	48c	314.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.46	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes	30c	314.46$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb076…bb35backed Yes	35c	312.34$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.34	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59fb…eceabacked Yes	34c	306.49$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.54	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	8c	304.17$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.26	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	59c	302.98$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.76	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes	31c	300.3$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.42	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	36c	297.96$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.56	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes	43c	295.8$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.29	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	35c	270.78$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.8	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	46c	267.31$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.7	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Yes	38c	264.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.25	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed No	64c	249.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	43c	249.7$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.33	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	69c	229.5$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.08	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	37c	228.29$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.1	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-56%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	39c	224.62$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.02	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	42c	220$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.6	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Yes	38c	212.61$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.61	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…475abacked No	74c	207.51$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.52	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked No	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed No	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.39	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x793e…cddbbacked Yes	37c	198.2$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	66c	196.38$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	68c	195$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.5	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ee…fab8backed Yes	33c	191.08$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.97	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+116.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	34c	185$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.65	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a50…edb1backed Yes	38c	181.26$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.96	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes	32c	179.14$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.54	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b5…66e8backed Yes	44c	177.59$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a9…e132backed Yes	34c	177.47$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64be…c653backed Yes	27c	175.88$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.79	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked No	60c	165.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	57c	163.3$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes	36c	160$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.4	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	29c	149$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.55	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	34c	139.66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.55	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad1b…1d65backed No	70c	138.29$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.11	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f2…54dcbacked Yes	33c	138.08$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.51	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No	68c	136.7$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.42	109	66.1%72 W · 37 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	66c	135.95$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.51	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa022…72c2backed Yes	49c	134.31$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.71	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7083…53ecbacked Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes	17c	130.02$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.9	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+6.6wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c79…6746backed No	78c	127.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No	73c	123.29$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	38c	110$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.9	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2e…2779backed Yes	47c	106.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed No	59c	105.18$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	58c	103.08$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.79	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.3	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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