TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c8,472$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,316.855,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7f…fb9dbacked Over43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24dc…041abacked Over43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86024323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c1,932$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.521,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over10c1,674$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.438318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over46c1,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.9918353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60212552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9912050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9399…301bbacked Over40c1,194$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over43c1,128$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.923619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under47c974.21$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.215044%22 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over46c909.97$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5917757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over33c890.67$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.166738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over46c841.31$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3872839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over20c819.16$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.542,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under76c787.82$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8218257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32213154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c674.29$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.991,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c638$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4830049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over46c599.94$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9717247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under58c583.11$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9130464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c482.05$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.461,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over45c475.61$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2144560%27 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18414453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over46c399.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9921152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c391.24$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.714058.6%82 W · 58 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c391.24$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.740156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under54c345.42$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4419856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under57c340.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.423342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5324654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over46c278.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c273.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under52c272.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over46c260$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.615050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over46c260$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under54c259.2$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.269750.5%49 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under55c257.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.832128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98a6…bc60backed Over48c249.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…9cd0backed Over48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over49c159.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.495164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over46c156$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7614953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over46c155.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7518256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over46c150.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over13c149.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.496465.6%42 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a4…7bc9backed Over61c145.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under54c138.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.711662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c127$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.121,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011543.5%50 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over40c120.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.229824.5%24 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under54c108$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6814247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4634050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c88.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.810156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over46c74.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.58250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c72.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c72.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1315850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Over46c71.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.891764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over43c63.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2619751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over48c62.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under55c54.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.514757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under56c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6511759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over28c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7538737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Over49c44.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over40c43.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under60c43.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4416659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under59c43.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1215470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over45c38.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.398256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c36.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3624656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under55c24.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2410752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under52c21.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.432356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.