La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5989d18b2d923a88b433f3fc1f4a3e626d1f98f12b123c624d565e5950550ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Yes | 59c | 828.55$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 41c | 499.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 58c | 445.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 414.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 345.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 303.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 241.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed Yes | 58c | 216.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 209.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0c27backed Yes | 58c | 168.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Yes | 58c | 166.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 42c | 166.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 135.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 53.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 56c | 51.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…eddebacked Yes | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 43c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…7e29backed Yes | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 58c | 25.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.