South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed37ef0af8fdc9d995c9c9090fa59b13eac4de52fff061f2157cfad0797bc40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Over | 52c | 6,932$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 6,896$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.93 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 5,651$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.71 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 38c | 3,106$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 37c | 2,634$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.75 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 21c | 1,900$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,561$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.2 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 1,516$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 1,171$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 899.09$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 715.9$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 586.05$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 21c | 460.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 47c | 445.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 414.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 46c | 205.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 49c | 199.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 180.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 177.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 161.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 74c | 144.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 24c | 134.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 57c | 130.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 128.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 128.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 58c | 128.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 90.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 69c | 71.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 25c | 62.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 56.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 42c | 45.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 43.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 59c | 41.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…41a5backed Under | 71c | 40.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 32c | 38.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Over | 31c | 37.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 75c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 36c | 35.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…e771backed Under | 63c | 34.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…c546backed Under | 54c | 34.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 56c | 29.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 28.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 47c | 23.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 78c | 21.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 77c | 16.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.