TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,992 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No42c386.87$162 inWon+$224.8833049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c382.56$197 inLost-$197.1984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes62c247.16$153 inLost-$153.244560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes49c227.42$111 inLost-$111.4484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No48c205.37$98 inWon+$107.594360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b24…de70backed No51c141.18$72 inWon+$69.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes50c140.14$70 inLost-$702653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes39c119.36$47 inLost-$46.930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No49c102$50 inWon+$52.0278445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No49c99.98$49 inWon+$50.9911852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes41c90.73$37 inLost-$37.1821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked No59c89.06$53 inWon+$36.511637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c88$53 inWon+$35.21,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9e5…b040backed No59c84.9$50 inWon+$34.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes53c78.55$42 inLost-$4215351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No48c74.89$36 inWon+$38.9419352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No52c49.64$26 inWon+$23.8953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No51c49.4$25 inWon+$24.466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc1…b85fbacked Yes46c32.74$15 inLost-$151435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No50c32$16 inWon+$1614953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No45c29.98$13 inWon+$16.4933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb42…7e5cbacked No50c29.9$15 inWon+$14.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4078…7d91backed Yes51c29.61$15 inLost-$155540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes51c29.41$15 inLost-$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost-$1537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost-$1525642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes52c25$13 inLost-$1310954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6538…efb9backed Yes53c22.02$12 inLost-$11.67875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+81.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2797…aec6backed No50c20$10 inWon+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Yes52c20$10 inLost-$10.44647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.