TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lilmixof Lilmix, NEW VISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe183…62e6backed NEW VISION60c5,103$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.542951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix46c4,011$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.785,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked NEW VISION50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NEW VISION1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix40c1,960$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed NEW VISION27c1,741$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4694344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed NEW VISION54c1,737$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Lilmix70c1,346$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.147152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NEW VISION9c1,276$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.235,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Lilmix41c945.39$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.8989046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NEW VISION59c857.89$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.1626546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Lilmix48c771.66$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.2918736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Lilmix47c509.09$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.093652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NEW VISION17c497.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.043,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Lilmix42c467$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7945754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…ab72backed NEW VISION60c413.33$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix55c410.53$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.754,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lilmix50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NEW VISION39c397.05$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.21,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NEW VISION55c390.11$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3440137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Lilmix74c366.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5843152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix62c331.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.986,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NEW VISION31c290.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.172,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix40c286.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.152,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Lilmix46c278.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9742255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix47c263.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed NEW VISION40c259.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9614037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NEW VISION55c234.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.160853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix44c231.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.243,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lilmix43c217.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.221,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix58c204.91$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.164,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed NEW VISION33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6635953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed NEW VISION9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1844939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Lilmix50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10044244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NEW VISION14c192$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed NEW VISION52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.62653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Lilmix61c178.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.87742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lilmix71c177.49$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.974,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NEW VISION59c170.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked NEW VISION60c167.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Lilmix48c155.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4240857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Lilmix65c153.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7315069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed NEW VISION29c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Lilmix45c147$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked Lilmix40c135$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lilmix60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3354543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Lilmix46c113.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0414641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed NEW VISION57c112.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.651,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Lilmix43c110.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.473732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lilmix40c107.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.530939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Lilmix68c106.75$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9675438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Lilmix78c106.01$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Lilmix43c104$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.327156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed NEW VISION53c102.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4670042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked NEW VISION60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked NEW VISION18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Lilmix39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6122729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Lilmix69c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix66c93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed NEW VISION56c88.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3520349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed NEW VISION58c86.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NEW VISION26c86.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.872,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Lilmix40c82.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.522037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Lilmix69c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NEW VISION60c79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.462,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed Lilmix43c76.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.627052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed Lilmix67c74.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.933852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NEW VISION16c71.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.391,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed Lilmix46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.749952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Lilmix40c69.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5674653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NEW VISION54c65.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2955039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.122,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked NEW VISION63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404143.9%18 W · 23 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lilmix64c61.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked NEW VISION29c61.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8752645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Lilmix43c59.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1941250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Lilmix40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Lilmix49c49.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4736856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed Lilmix65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.754831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Lilmix40c44.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4941853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abe…6e2dbacked Lilmix42c42.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.624864.6%31 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29f9…9de3backed NEW VISION60c41.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.824353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e09…22febacked Lilmix67c40.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NEW VISION30c35.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.693,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ef…bb1fbacked NEW VISION38c34.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Lilmix66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Lilmix42c29.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0311536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Lilmix69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9932361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked NEW VISION55c24.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed Lilmix66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.830831.2%96 W · 212 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed Lilmix70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67159.2%42 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Lilmix78c17.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.940264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.