CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9779ce6dc6c5e51cb0a9af12e56c6c88222bcd8621422054db1f3bd0dbdeb0f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Lilmixof Lilmix, NEW VISION
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe183…62e6backed NEW VISION	53c	2,043$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.67	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NEW VISION	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed Lilmix	47c	1,683$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.98	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NEW VISION	68c	1,490$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014	265	46.8%124 W · 141 L	-18.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix	46c	939.46$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.17	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NEW VISION	41c	851.97$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.25	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION	54c	617.28$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.73	2,530	34.6%876 W · 1,654 L	-193.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed NEW VISION	48c	599.44$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.79	368	56.8%209 W · 159 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…ab72backed Lilmix	58c	548.92$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.81	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Lilmix	43c	546.45$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.74	420	37.9%159 W · 261 L	-17.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION	56c	541.15$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.61	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Lilmix	40c	499.12$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.12	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NEW VISION	53c	399.79$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.29	562	39.5%222 W · 340 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lilmix	28c	392.86$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.86	1,325	44.1%584 W · 741 L	+44.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix	46c	384.98$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.04	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lilmix	69c	349.49$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.78	2,365	45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L	-58.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NEW VISION	49c	334.89$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.1	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed NEW VISION	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	378	45.5%172 W · 206 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked NEW VISION	31c	252.63$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.14	187	36.9%69 W · 118 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Lilmix	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked NEW VISION	9c	199.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	231	29%67 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NEW VISION	9c	197.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix	62c	195.33$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.7	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Lilmix	41c	190.61$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.94	773	51.2%396 W · 377 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Lilmix	62c	182.51$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.19	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed NEW VISION	52c	170$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix	57c	169.75$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.99	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed NEW VISION	56c	164.15$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix	46c	157.5$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.12	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Lilmix	31c	157.36$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.36	151	42.4%64 W · 87 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NEW VISION	65c	154.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Lilmix	36c	138.47$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.47	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked NEW VISION	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lilmix	59c	92.96$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.71	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION	39c	86.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	5,034	37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L	-260.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Lilmix	49c	80.57$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.24	393	53.2%209 W · 184 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Lilmix	40c	77.5$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.5	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e96…e128backed Lilmix	65c	77.31$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.31	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix	46c	76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	2,397	42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lilmix	43c	76$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.19	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Lilmix	66c	75.11$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Lilmix	47c	74.7$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.7	316	62.7%198 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Lilmix	49c	61.32$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.18	419	50.1%210 W · 209 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed NEW VISION	66c	59.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed NEW VISION	54c	59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.07	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NEW VISION	50c	57.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	3,949	36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L	-201.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix	65c	53.42$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked NEW VISION	61c	49.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lilmix	39c	44$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	1,305	26.4%345 W · 960 L	-89.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Lilmix	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	216	23.6%51 W · 165 L	-27.4wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Lilmix	40c	42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	2,393	46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NEW VISION	46c	40.62$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	431	55.9%241 W · 190 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lilmix	36c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	1,895	47.8%906 W · 989 L	-50.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed NEW VISION	63c	38.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Lilmix	36c	38.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.52	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lilmix	47c	36.54$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.23	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed NEW VISION	48c	36.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	773	46.1%356 W · 417 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked NEW VISION	51c	34.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	681	47%320 W · 361 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Lilmix	47c	32.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.09	664	36.6%243 W · 421 L	-35.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x360a…376fbacked NEW VISION	52c	28.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Lilmix	48c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.96	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-7.2wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked NEW VISION	56c	23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	271	56.8%154 W · 117 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Lilmix	79c	23$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.87	361	74.8%270 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed NEW VISION	51c	21.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked NEW VISION	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed NEW VISION	64c	16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	422	57.3%242 W · 180 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLilmix won
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event