TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lilmixof Lilmix, NEW VISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix42c14,001$5,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,068.125,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NEW VISION36c6,736$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.160853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked NEW VISION55c4,599$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.4374956.7%425 W · 324 L+47.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed NEW VISION1c2,778$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2716036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix42c2,558$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.82,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lilmix41c2,202$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.961,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed NEW VISION57c2,175$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.62958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NEW VISION52c2,107$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NEW VISION1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lilmix39c1,946$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.41,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed NEW VISION55c1,833$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.7113646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked NEW VISION1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9516311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed NEW VISION60c1,367$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.022951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix45c1,306$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.285,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Lilmix43c1,301$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NEW VISION8c1,244$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.575,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked NEW VISION36c1,216$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.931330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked NEW VISION20c1,208$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3694445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked NEW VISION1c1,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd417…327abacked NEW VISION53c1,128$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked NEW VISION58c996.32$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8927740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Lilmix42c952.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3859055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccce…58dabacked NEW VISION43c926.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Lilmix45c894.13$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix64c882.44$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.187,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed NEW VISION59c860.79$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.474129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix48c838.56$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.282,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed NEW VISION58c834.48$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4841315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked NEW VISION60c833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.816749.1%82 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked NEW VISION1c808$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked NEW VISION18c804.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8136440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NEW VISION60c800$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47676546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NEW VISION58c775.28$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4154339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NEW VISION20c760.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed NEW VISION59c723$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.432139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NEW VISION55c718.29$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.522,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed NEW VISION29c708.48$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Lilmix39c692.1$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed NEW VISION55c670.97$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7827647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked NEW VISION58c669.98$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.595642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked NEW VISION61c657.38$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked NEW VISION57c610.04$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34617449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NEW VISION29c608.04$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.426,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NEW VISION52c579.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Lilmix42c550.02$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.011747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked NEW VISION50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix41c525.58$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.044,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked NEW VISION58c517.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0425344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…fb1cbacked NEW VISION59c504.01$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Lilmix44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Lilmix42c456.4$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7620045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked NEW VISION56c423.61$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.386347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix42c419.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.65,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lilmix45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Lilmix57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17244839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed NEW VISION59c400$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.663357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NEW VISION5c398.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Lilmix55c381.63$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6627544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Lilmix41c373.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2422447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d67…5f14backed NEW VISION15c365.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lilmix53c357.32$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.324,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Lilmix42c333.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3325851.9%134 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed NEW VISION46c324.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NEW VISION49c319$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed NEW VISION62c317.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7118645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Lilmix63c312.31$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked NEW VISION57c310$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.717042.4%72 W · 98 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed NEW VISION58c307.2$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.211,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Lilmix41c305.76$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2120147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Lilmix45c304.56$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6987330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed NEW VISION60c296.67$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1786741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NEW VISION32c295.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5374633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked NEW VISION56c290.29$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5613652.9%72 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ec…4e7fbacked NEW VISION57c277.46$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked NEW VISION57c275$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.187540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c44…9756backed NEW VISION57c272$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d4…7303backed NEW VISION37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Lilmix38c267.25$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed NEW VISION56c262.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.322044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked NEW VISION57c262.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8940950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed NEW VISION57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lilmix62c249.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7372153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NEW VISION30c245.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.681,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed NEW VISION61c239$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.797245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed NEW VISION62c231.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5715349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398a…868bbacked NEW VISION58c231.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked NEW VISION58c225.86$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Lilmix41c224.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6431261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NEW VISION26c212.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.592,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed NEW VISION56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Lilmix52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+68.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked NEW VISION55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lilmix68c193.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.513,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix48c193.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.433,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Lilmix43c192$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3348543.1%209 W · 276 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked NEW VISION63c188.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6712756.7%72 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked NEW VISION58c181.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.825350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed NEW VISION56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039455.3%218 W · 176 L+17.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked NEW VISION55c176.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1111244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed NEW VISION62c176.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.113455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.