Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9875ca50ac923d0c57f956c86b6f757c68d7e3689a1c975f8d3425d5ac10ce95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 48c | 2,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,673$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 46c | 1,581$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.05 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Over | 47c | 1,266$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.14 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.26 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Under | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 47c | 664.69$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.41 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…6b24backed Under | 58c | 600.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 498.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 466.86$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…4acbbacked Over | 47c | 422.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 54c | 232.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…5023backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Over | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 131.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 119.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 54c | 106.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 101.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…a453backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…3386backed Over | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 44c | 28.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 53c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 48c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.