Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f0099c511387622918655a95a0ba6f92738a80c4d25629cb333d472d4e5ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 30c | 293.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Over | 69c | 176.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 31c | 172.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 157.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under | 51c | 97.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…af44backed Over | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa2…3620backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 45.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 60c | 41.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 40c | 36.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…d2a0backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 61c | 17.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5 Cornersthis page
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: England O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Ghana: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
- England vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.