England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd75e1af06b447c8cfc9a989a9545cafd04c7271f5c1c59b6e17e824585cd8cb4

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	41c	4,863$2,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.96	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over	56c	3,465$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed Under	19c	2,310$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	53c	2,018$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over	41c	1,673$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.17	179	38%68 W · 111 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under	21c	1,500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.35	341	25.8%88 W · 253 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over	59c	1,466$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.07	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over	61c	1,466$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.74	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Over	56c	1,429$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.29	171	49.7%85 W · 86 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under	20c	953.63$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.35	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	58c	951.3$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.89	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over	53c	947.58$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.64	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under	43c	758.08$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.29	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	52c	650$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	230	46.5%107 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	620.07$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.31	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	20c	594.49$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a8…7df4backed Over	80c	498.49$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.7	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	38c	497.24$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.41	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3607…2f38backed Under	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over	63c	443.86$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.23	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	63c	414.16$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.24	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over	59c	372.62$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.77	102	42.2%43 W · 59 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Under	63c	350.11$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.01	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	39c	259.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	61	73.8%45 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	7c	234.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…39e5backed Over	57c	230.86$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.97	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.0wins	-0.29per pick	50cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	52c	213.46$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.46	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	46c	212$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.54	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over	51c	200$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over	62c	199.99$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Over	70c	195.78$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.74	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…9faebacked Under	55c	182.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over	72c	180.83$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.83	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	47	63.8%30 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	54c	160.02$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.76	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under	43c	154.57$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	24c	152.67$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.64	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	78c	150$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ee…7a99backed Over	52c	143.54$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.54	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8b…25b7backed Over	79c	140.32$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.47	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x620d…a2f2backed Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	143	74.8%107 W · 36 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c47…e1cbbacked Over	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Over	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Under	38c	122.63$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.06	156	35.9%56 W · 100 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	44c	103.29$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.7	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Over	70c	99.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d9…cc54backed Over	64c	99.97$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.99	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9549…d3cbbacked Over	61c	97.97$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.31	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over	45c	91.21$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	36c	78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over	71c	77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.33	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Under	42c	75.31$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Over	66c	74.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Under	30c	72.81$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d45…71a1backed Over	79c	65$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	19c	61.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Over	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	213	62%132 W · 81 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c7d…7664backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+165.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	61c	55.72$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.98	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	21c	53.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	79c	50.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	631	52.9%334 W · 297 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	47c	50.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	480	55.2%265 W · 215 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…7dc5backed Over	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Under	56c	48.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f1…9e40backed Over	70c	46.26$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	72cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69be…33e2backed Over	80c	44.68$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd3…bab6backed Under	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ae…0ac6backed Under	47c	42.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe9c…fd02backed Under	56c	41.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Over	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Over	55c	39.78$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed Over	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6515…c867backed Over	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	63cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa25d…07e1backed Under	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x943e…37f5backed Over	65c	22.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.99	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Over	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d5…88eabacked Over	80c	20.65$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.13	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	55c	20.41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.18	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…2f2abacked Under	51c	20.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2b…451dbacked Over	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	79c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over	72c	16.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.51	104	58.7%61 W · 43 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	67c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
England vs. Ghana: Team to Take First CornerEngland won
England vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event