TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c7,974$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,873.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under61c4,279$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.937237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.9711343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over37c2,713$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.5237223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c2,492$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c1,901$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Under60c1,860$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.114544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over41c1,840$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.023050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under60c1,549$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.6685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under60c1,437$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.316946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under62c1,171$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.11,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under64c999.98$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.233630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over43c921.83$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8317938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under58c749.98$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under38c706.52$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.285543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004238.1%16 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Under60c583.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Under58c524$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.924763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over42c523.79$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7954917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Over62c499.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1908742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.810432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under62c468$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.164942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c453.04$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under60c449.97$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.981,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over43c443.91$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.037847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c413.05$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.312,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…4e77backed Over43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over42c387.17$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.563542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over41c366$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under59c352.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c350.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under60c328.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.263327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under60c299.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under63c254.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.635549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Over42c250.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.52920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.55945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Under63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.57047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Under63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.53441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over41c212.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.214953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c211$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.492,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under68c211$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.693,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11418929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under59c199.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Over39c197$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1714550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Over41c195.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1221321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under66c185.29$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2932044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over34c185.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2923729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over42c157.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1425150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over39c153.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5624246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over40c142.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.873,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ec…17b2backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under59c121.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6911147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0524935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over41c118.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.789239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x586b…52d9backed Over40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b3…8110backed Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.563946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312846.1%59 W · 69 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010954.1%59 W · 50 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5820325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.249561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1110547.6%50 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c89.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.812,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over38c83.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8410335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over39c82.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over39c81.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under59c76.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9927363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under65c76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.722,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36eb…a9fabacked Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under67c68.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5efe…0cf0backed Over63c65.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.224772.3%34 W · 13 L+9.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+53.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under58c65.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.831,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under61c57.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1813950.4%70 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8212028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under58c55.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.047945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2132…118ebacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60dc…ee25backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under60c49.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9345254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7828149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6222242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Over42c47.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6116739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8898…4b81backed Over33c46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.823933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c45.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98c…ee92backed Over43c44.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Over30c36.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.672045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under30c36.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…16a2backed Over42c35.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ad…1053backed Over40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over39c32.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6310047%47 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over38c30.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8539648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over68c29.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over42c28.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3111659.5%69 W · 47 L+13.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.