Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb3019370258d0a3b8884c02af3e057c3199d421815484036f2a18d8b5c295c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $371,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $420,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,150 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under	14c	119,209$16,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,097.14	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under	10c	9,999$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.94	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	13c	9,785$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	5c	9,439$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.26	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	14c	7,884$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.97	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	14c	7,372$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,032.05	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	14c	6,668$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.52	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	14c	5,909$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.33	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	4c	4,688$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.57	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	12c	4,028$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.68	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under	3c	2,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	16c	2,004$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.57	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	14c	1,794$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.84	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63db…174cbacked Under	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	16c	1,211$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.69	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under	1c	1,200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	18c	1,015$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.61	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	9c	947.81$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.31	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	12c	856.08$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Under	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	10c	616.65$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.16	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under	4c	611.66$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	13c	573$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.72	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	3c	537.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	4c	516$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	35%62 W · 115 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…29c1backed Under	10c	460$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.25	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	7c	456.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	4c	419.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…cbd3backed Under	14c	399.97$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	4c	379.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x314a…7f6cbacked Under	14c	370$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Under	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Under	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under	3c	310.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Under	14c	299.67$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	318	42.5%135 W · 183 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under	14c	299.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.89	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…4869backed Under	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	11c	246.74$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.26	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	13c	240$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	14c	236.82$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	15c	202.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Under	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb309…6b1bbacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under	15c	199.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05b…f821backed Under	15c	195$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	79c	189.01$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.69	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	14c	168.72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed Under	21c	160$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Under	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	19.4%30 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Under	14c	141.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	19c	133.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	14c	130$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under	15c	125.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Under	15c	124.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	224	45.5%102 W · 122 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	17c	120.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa011…c40bbacked Under	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under	14c	101.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under	17c	99.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26fe…77c3backed Under	14c	90.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Under	13c	79.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	15c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef83…41f4backed Under	14c	73.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5this page
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5Over won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Portugal (-5.5)Uzbekistan won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Uzbekistan (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event