TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9311…29c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10053%53 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$82.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+222%+$44.39
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$201.58
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$32.79
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.38
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.87
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.92
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.52
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.94
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+192.7%+$118.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.99
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.51
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?backed Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?backed Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.46
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.75
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.12
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.56
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$19.03
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.67
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.1
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.75
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.05
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.23
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid+60.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$163.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$72.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+206.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$82.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FOKUS vs REBORN (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$31.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.