Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6671f803dda9339cd20c8b1eeb6caf9ab5f276231fd9727e6e52f0d7f8ba0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Lucknow Super Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd4…9aabbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 0c | 8,973$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 630.81$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Lucknow Super Giants | 48c | 518.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Lucknow Super Giants | 2c | 486.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 394.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 191.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 190.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 125.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…29c1backed Lucknow Super Giants | 46c | 107.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…84cebacked Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 96.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…24b7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 56.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 53.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 49.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…5374backed Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 45.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 43.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 40.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9c…2b9abacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…c400backed Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 49c | 39.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…ad92backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6260backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…b53bbacked Lucknow Super Giants | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…ae18backed Lucknow Super Giants | 51c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…7ddebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…0a13backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 29.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 52c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…1e54backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super GiantsRoyal Challengers Bangalore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.