Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d710a606f47a6a2b6d0ea7923155451d9d3e43c2319f8ff43e61a98150ef5e8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $231,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,719 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	8c	9,200$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	6c	5,180$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.6	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	1c	5,032$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.21	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	6c	5,000$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	9c	4,567$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.03	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5a…72c2backed Yes	12c	3,436$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	10c	3,309$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.68	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088f…131bbacked Yes	10c	3,272$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.16	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Yes	7c	3,000$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358d…e216backed Yes	13c	2,896$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.3	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	7c	2,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,383$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	9c	2,350$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.64	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	3c	2,222$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes	9c	1,931$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.67	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	9c	1,611$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes	9c	1,607$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.35	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Yes	12c	1,583$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.43	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	12c	1,530$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	2c	1,500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	10c	1,407$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.64	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	8c	1,291$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.22	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Yes	11c	1,200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	8c	1,167$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	9c	1,093$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.38	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	5c	1,093$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4381…6defbacked Yes	1c	1,089$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…2ae0backed Yes	10c	977.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	4c	976.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	14c	960$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.6	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	10c	792.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	7c	595.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x017c…222dbacked Yes	8c	550$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x185b…4b6abacked Yes	5c	504.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	9c	500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	8c	500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…869bbacked Yes	2c	500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	11c	416.84$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf0…a556backed Yes	5c	411.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…5c25backed Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd86b…a296backed Yes	11c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	9c	340$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x028c…162fbacked Yes	12c	325$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes	5c	319.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	11c	300.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.04	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e6c…ef89backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-59%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…3c79backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfd…c48bbacked Yes	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-55%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ec…685dbacked Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	12c	284.17$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes	11c	274.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	8c	256.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9311…29c1backed Yes	11c	250.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf78d…8e3ebacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x246c…4c1abacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0321…7149backed Yes	6c	222.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	11c	222$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Yes	8c	213$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x995d…bd40backed Yes	11c	209.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	14c	207.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b80…a2e4backed Yes	11c	204.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2066…617cbacked Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1836…db98backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf856…a3ddbacked Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x546d…e5cfbacked Yes	7c	190.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…3ff1backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked Yes	9c	178$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab80…bd0ebacked Yes	14c	177.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac8…8781backed Yes	12c	161.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d25…9462backed Yes	12c	158.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe863…e221backed Yes	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977f…0650backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbcf…812fbacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+113.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bce…85fabacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…7dd2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9127…6ff3backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ad…d82ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb33…c3d6backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02d3…c561backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb277…3bdbbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b13…7a68backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	13c	89.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9e…2935backed Yes	12c	87.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?this page
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes won
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event