Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716ce4b062cfa981ecc84d4c56b919dd2de9aa7eafcc9c7ad42f81d8e99f584a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $244,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $131,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb550…758fbacked Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	0c	11,008$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	2c	10,300$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	7c	6,200$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	10c	5,134$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.4	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	7c	5,039$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.47	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	2c	4,923$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.67	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	9c	3,562$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.39	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Yes	5c	3,000$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.23	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	0c	2,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20f…4397backed Yes	1c	2,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	3c	2,040$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3116…ec07backed Yes	5c	2,000$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	10c	1,920$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.8	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	11c	1,683$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.6	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes	11c	1,607$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.77	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	2c	1,533$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c1…65a1backed Yes	7c	1,532$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	8c	1,394$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.42	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	11c	1,315$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…4db3backed Yes	6c	1,250$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Yes	8c	1,200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	12c	1,174$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.54	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Yes	13c	1,158$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	8c	1,113$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.07	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…2ae0backed Yes	9c	1,112$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb204…fcdbbacked Yes	12c	1,021$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18a…4de5backed Yes	6c	950.41$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.02	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	10c	900$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	2c	824.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	7c	800.03$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07bf…be4bbacked Yes	2c	764.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	3c	741.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	11c	673.49$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.08	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes	11c	573.49$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	12c	556.62$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.79	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	10c	500$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	10c	400$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e6c…ef89backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-59%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked Yes	8c	383.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…c34ebacked Yes	5c	360$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	8cpaid	+308.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x017c…222dbacked Yes	8c	350$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes	9c	348.11$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.33	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	4c	342.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…b904backed Yes	13c	332$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	10c	329.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes	4c	316.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2dc…b2a9backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes	7c	299$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	16.7%13 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes	12c	295.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x453e…a555backed Yes	13c	270.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	11c	267.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked Yes	6c	266.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83b…ebf8backed Yes	5c	220$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Yes	11c	213$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	13c	206.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	8c	201$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	172	16.9%29 W · 143 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd86b…a296backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…fecebacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fa…3c79backed Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e60…5f95backed Yes	6c	191$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ff…94c9backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x995d…bd40backed Yes	11c	174.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	13c	161.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ad…d82ebacked Yes	10c	156.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cb…20f3backed Yes	12c	154.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe49…e231backed Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd5…ff37backed Yes	10c	130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977f…0650backed Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0070…4553backed Yes	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd3…f996backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f9…07fabacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8a…ebc5backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…c561backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?this page
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes won
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event