Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4a6781f7a1870742bb9ccdc918b1ab91217bd6a52ffcabb445bc6078e32544

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $285,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,934 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xea0a…8340backed Yes	0c	11,885$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	9c	11,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes	0c	10,960$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	0c	8,869$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes	7c	8,438$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.79	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ae…92afbacked Yes	7c	7,143$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	2c	5,595$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.24	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	8c	5,387$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.06	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed Yes	2c	5,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	5c	4,428$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.47	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	6c	4,061$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.66	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	5c	4,000$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	5c	3,998$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	7c	3,350$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Yes	5c	3,000$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	12c	2,620$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.2	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	9c	2,612$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.8	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes	15c	2,483$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.63	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbc5a…72c2backed Yes	16c	2,446$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	9c	2,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed Yes	12c	1,613$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes	10c	1,589$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.84	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	7c	1,496$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.24	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes	3c	1,441$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	7c	1,438$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	13c	1,383$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.22	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes	12c	1,209$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.89	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	6c	1,201$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Yes	15c	1,200$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8837…f23abacked Yes	10c	1,186$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.57	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes	3c	1,150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…869bbacked Yes	5c	1,127$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	11c	1,072$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.49	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	4c	1,063$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	6c	1,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…8a2dbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbdd…d33fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	3c	999.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	8c	999$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	122	28.7%35 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	15c	966.95$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.2	75	17.3%13 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b13…7a68backed Yes	12c	932.68$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	3c	898.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…b009backed Yes	6c	800$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21bd…6dfebacked Yes	13c	770.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	11c	743.59$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.79	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c2…c6efbacked Yes	11c	700$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa099…b806backed Yes	14c	685.06$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.83	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8015…07ccbacked Yes	4c	652.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966a…4d34backed Yes	16c	639$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-35%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4381…6defbacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	11c	600$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	9c	517.65$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.65	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	8c	500$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.29	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6160…2d21backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	7c	500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe863…e221backed Yes	10c	403$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	11c	400.64$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd86b…a296backed Yes	11c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99b6…a768backed Yes	12c	332.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6c…ef89backed Yes	6c	330.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-59%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes	15c	327$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…618bbacked Yes	8c	300.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…fa70backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…c7b4backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x028c…162fbacked Yes	12c	297$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.17	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	12c	279.26$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.14	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…3c79backed Yes	13c	262.49$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	7c	250$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	13c	250$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x246c…4c1abacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x185b…4b6abacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995d…bd40backed Yes	12c	204.07$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	112	31.3%35 W · 77 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd39b…c6c1backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	13c	192.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546d…e5cfbacked Yes	10c	190$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf856…a3ddbacked Yes	15c	186.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd757…94aabacked Yes	16c	185.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-63%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44e…4d45backed Yes	14c	180$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	12c	168.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19fa…b4a1backed Yes	12c	164$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb27…4db3backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	14c	139.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977f…0650backed Yes	11c	135.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	12c	130$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…3ff1backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe49…e231backed Yes	13c	120$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bce…85fabacked Yes	14c	118.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a4…df18backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?this page
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes won
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event