Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70785c79f37b3bd699c60ca28d15541e43e673def5a4b77cde81c64fffb9d3bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kolkata Knight Ridersof Chennai Super Kings, Kolkata Knight Riders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Chennai Super Kings | 15c | 2,649$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…a654backed Chennai Super Kings | 57c | 1,806$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 42c | 1,441$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.96 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 642.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.52 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 55c | 204$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9d…ab79backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…be03backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 184.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 97.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…4013backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 96.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 48c | 95.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…2b09backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 69c | 80.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…29c1backed Chennai Super Kings | 39c | 69.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 48c | 50.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…f14cbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…07adbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 46.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9c…2b9abacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 39.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 33.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Chennai Super Kings | 42c | 32.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…43cfbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…ae18backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…aaa1backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 49c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…a376backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 51c | 27.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…d7eabacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…bca2backed Kolkata Knight Riders | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight RidersChennai Super Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.