TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Chicago Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs70c65,440$45,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,8081,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals30c50,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,999.9731149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals30c22,649$6,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,854.127452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chicago Cubs37c13,774$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.8415550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Washington Nationals61c13,115$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.7511547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals30c10,845$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,591.5447953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Chicago Cubs60c9,674$5,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.4521656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs34c6,746$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.986,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Chicago Cubs42c4,250$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.7910930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Chicago Cubs69c4,050$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.477164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals30c3,972$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.545,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Washington Nationals64c3,945$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.184047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs70c3,774$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.981,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals66c2,929$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals59c2,767$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs4c2,755$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.21,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs32c2,672$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.2138148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals64c2,526$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.22,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals69c2,094$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.488,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e8…2525backed Chicago Cubs70c1,957$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Chicago Cubs19c1,749$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1711125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs35c1,708$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Chicago Cubs70c1,627$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.911454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago Cubs36c1,304$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3534164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Chicago Cubs69c1,136$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.64443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals30c1,108$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.476,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs70c999$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Chicago Cubs40c990.79$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.595137.3%19 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Washington Nationals31c967$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.234052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Chicago Cubs71c846.48$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Washington Nationals62c795$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.11020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs46c725.73$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7160941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals65c714.73$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.011,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Chicago Cubs26c623.62$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.143627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4143,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs41c528.02$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.731,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked Chicago Cubs38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+92.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago Cubs23c522.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals53c478.9$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.874,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Chicago Cubs70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7704…9640backed Chicago Cubs70c414$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.82263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals48c386.72$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.231,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs36c361.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7270735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Chicago Cubs71c347.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.425851.9%134 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals30c337.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5944643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Washington Nationals31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5814953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals61c318.41$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3925349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Chicago Cubs48c315.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.115841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Washington Nationals61c309.07$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8124348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals71c305$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5555541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Washington Nationals29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21311647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Chicago Cubs44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals30c299.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9917050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Chicago Cubs70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Chicago Cubs70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals39c277.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.476,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Chicago Cubs70c276.2$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.346060%36 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Chicago Cubs73c275.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2216159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Nationals29c254.21$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4946547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Washington Nationals43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.56055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals29c249.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.451,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs35c235.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals31c225.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8156946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Washington Nationals65c224.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.98355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Chicago Cubs49c219.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2827146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35cf…3d54backed Chicago Cubs22c207.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Chicago Cubs29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Washington Nationals31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13829145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Washington Nationals31c199.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.157256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Chicago Cubs43c198.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.55448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Washington Nationals57c197.52$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.078246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago Cubs70c184$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.820548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Chicago Cubs46c183.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals31c178.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1567849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals63c176.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2178649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals30c172.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0768846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs35c163.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.291,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Chicago Cubs47c163.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4345246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs20c157.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs39c157.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.032,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Washington Nationals66c154.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.997833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Chicago Cubs42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Chicago Cubs70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Washington Nationals31c136$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8413442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals30c130.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.862,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…d526backed Washington Nationals31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Chicago Cubs70c128.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7911153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals62c128$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6426255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e9…c72abacked Washington Nationals30c121.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.925950.8%30 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs45c116.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.361,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Chicago Cubs70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Chicago Cubs47c106.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals62c103$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.141,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Chicago Cubs37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3745732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Washington Nationals31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6913752.6%72 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.