MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104305a407366f122d4d3197780cfe4faaa80bfcf01b0e22acb65cab5b35869d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 65,440$45,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,808 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.97 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 22,649$6,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,854.1 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 13,774$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,123.84 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 13,115$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.75 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 10,845$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.54 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 9,674$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.45 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 6,746$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 4,250$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.79 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 4,050$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.47 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 3,972$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 3,945$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 3,774$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 2,929$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 2,767$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 2,755$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 2,672$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.21 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 2,526$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.2 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 2,094$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,957$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 1,749$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.17 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 1,708$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.41 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,627$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.9 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 1,304$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,136$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 1,108$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 999$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 990.79$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 967$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 846.48$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 795$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 725.73$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 714.73$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 623.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 528.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago Cubs | 23c | 522.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 478.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…9640backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 414$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 386.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 361.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 347.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 337.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 318.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 315.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 309.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 305$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 277.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 276.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 275.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 254.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 249.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 235.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 224.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 219.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…3d54backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 207.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 199.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 198.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 197.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 184$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 183.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 178.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 176.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 172.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 163.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 163.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 20c | 157.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 157.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 154.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 136$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 130.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…d526backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 128.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 121.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 116.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 103$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.