Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5883a501c0ca8fb60b441553c3eb60909d867c8ea156b0787947f00fb08e19b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Chennai Super Kings, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16eb…d2bfbacked Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 389.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…c666backed Punjab Kings | 54c | 182.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Punjab Kings | 63c | 132.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…df6fbacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 98.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f0a5backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…e5bdbacked Punjab Kings | 50c | 72.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…5a95backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 69.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 38.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…261dbacked Chennai Super Kings | 46c | 37.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…be60backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…b599backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…48c7backed Chennai Super Kings | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 35.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…76e5backed Punjab Kings | 66c | 31.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…b53bbacked Punjab Kings | 63c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…4d73backed Punjab Kings | 63c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 28.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Chennai Super Kings | 42c | 27.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…5b50backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…34e0backed Punjab Kings | 59c | 24.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…a06dbacked Punjab Kings | 62c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…29c1backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…2f20backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab KingsPunjab Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.