TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under48c1,899$911 inLost-$911.4953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Over52c1,154$600 inWon+$553.8512428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006e…7c46backed Over59c509.07$298 inWon+$211.076429.7%19 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under41c347.19$142 inLost-$142.351,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc19…c313backed Over58c346.15$200 inWon+$146.156861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over52c307.69$160 inWon+$147.6917733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Under42c249.99$105 inLost-$1051560%9 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+103.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Under43c234.88$101 inLost-$1012638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked Under44c222.73$98 inLost-$982070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under38c201.62$76 inLost-$7658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over59c170$100 inWon+$7016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3946…7a19backed Over52c141.69$74 inWon+$68.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over52c126.37$66 inWon+$60.6623729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c97.96$55 inWon+$42.473,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a8…3a61backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon+$46.155050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c7…fedfbacked Under53c86.12$45 inLost-$45.416256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c81.6$48 inWon+$33.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under41c75.48$31 inLost-$30.912,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over56c69.77$39 inWon+$30.7815635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over57c50$29 inWon+$21.532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c47.61$27 inWon+$20.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e36…0c4abacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.747042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Over51c36.01$18 inWon+$17.593050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under52c32.14$17 inLost-$16.6136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bae…bcbfbacked Over58c24.18$14 inWon+$10.1812760.6%77 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.