Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597ba60860af40a0d002adca3f1bb171dc19b3966cd5f8893bdd1fa1413d4b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 26c | 5,400$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 22c | 5,038$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.02 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 20c | 4,240$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.81 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 4,181$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 3,536$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 3,082$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 2,561$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 79c | 2,192$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 15c | 1,853$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 16c | 1,736$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 1c | 1,614$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Under | 1c | 1,435$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 79c | 1,377$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 25c | 1,302$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.63 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 79c | 1,072$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 80c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 16c | 890.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 76c | 868.42$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 76c | 830.05$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 27c | 666.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under | 26c | 662.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 17c | 588.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 15c | 560.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 25c | 433.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 23c | 416.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 76c | 356$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 77c | 342.61$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 313$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 80c | 300.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 80c | 259.36$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked Over | 78c | 255.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 26c | 253.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 19c | 247.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 16c | 242.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 16c | 238.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 18c | 227.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…b325backed Under | 21c | 220.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 75c | 215.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 75c | 203.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Under | 17c | 194.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Under | 17c | 176.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 16c | 154.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 146.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 25c | 135.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…24d4backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 15c | 118.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…cbb9backed Over | 75c | 111.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 22c | 96.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Under | 22c | 57.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Over | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…5fe6backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Iraq won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Iraq won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Iraq won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-5.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.