TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$496,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Over20c28,010$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c16,148$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over16c9,746$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.251,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over19c9,200$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.9214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under79c5,451$4,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c5,438$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.883,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c5,219$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over3c4,995$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over19c4,890$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c80…60adbacked Over19c4,211$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-36.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over18c4,174$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over9c3,425$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over17c3,200$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over18c3,136$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.511,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over11c2,953$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.588225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c2,949$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over18c2,534$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over19c2,528$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.332927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over17c2,390$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2342710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over20c2,100$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd475…9fb4backed Over13c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+141%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c1,837$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Over15c1,731$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.65258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Over19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over19c1,454$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over21c1,333$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.93595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over20c1,234$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.754940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Over19c1,184$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…88f5backed Over19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009028.9%26 W · 64 L-10.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over20c1,050$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over20c1,045$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20917938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over20c1,025$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19012040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Over3c999.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Over20c899.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.827138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe902…8566backed Over10c854.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3460%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over19c815.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c805.09$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d82…fdd0backed Under80c804.41$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over7c785.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over19c699.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13315920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ef…83bdbacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over18c574.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.341,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over18c555.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over18c548.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe03b…e801backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Over19c514.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7710527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Over19c514.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7710527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Over19c514.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7310527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f62…1239backed Over20c506.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009242.4%39 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6c…21edbacked Over20c506.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9517030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Over19c482$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5813528.1%38 W · 97 L-15.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Over19c482$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5813428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Over19c482$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5813428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Over19c481.21$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4313428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Over19c476.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5813428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over19c473.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over13c444.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7378835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over18c441.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7845120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over19c429.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188a…adfebacked Over19c421.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808134.6%28 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over19c405.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over9c401$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over19c394.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…30cabacked Over19c388.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.93622.2%8 W · 28 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Over20c354.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8127058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Over19c347.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03d5…51fdbacked Over18c323.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.183724.3%9 W · 28 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over20c314.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8314612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over14c297.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.122524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80db…66aebacked Over19c295$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.053826.3%10 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c293$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012128.9%35 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Over18c277.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over19c276.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5930463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.