Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf34f2466855a1355c536d9144eb618ee66e1d7ce0d8dd0b4799a97222c2ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 2,778$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.35 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tabilo | 39c | 2,460$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.56 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Tabilo | 35c | 1,864$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.84 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…7da1backed Tabilo | 42c | 1,405$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 1,380$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.84 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Tabilo | 46c | 590.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 371.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 348.87$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 344.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 306.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tabilo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tabilo | 38c | 188.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Tabilo | 40c | 152.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Tabilo | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tabilo | 10c | 102.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Tabilo | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 101.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 97.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked Tabilo | 39c | 77.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 75.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Tabilo | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 61.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Tabilo | 44c | 48.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 47.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…be44backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…bf58backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Tabilo | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 287 | 43.6%125 W · 162 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 31.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17c…c428backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…0d8fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Tabilothis page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloYes won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Tabilo (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.