Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce72713d3c06425c9d57be8950cf03f002e94cfd87a5d782b4dcb89c5102b541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tabilo | 55c | 2,007$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 1,399$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.43 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tabilo | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.45 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 909.09$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Tabilo | 57c | 526.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 500$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tabilo | 51c | 419$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 315.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 42c | 258$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Tabilo | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 218.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…c5f4backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tabilo | 46c | 209$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tabilo | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Tabilo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Tabilo | 52c | 156.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Auger-Aliassime | 25c | 93.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Tabilo | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tabilo | 51c | 91.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 63.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tabilo | 52c | 50.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…6984backed Tabilo | 54c | 45.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Tabilo | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 37.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Tabilo | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Tabilo | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…3575backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloYes won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs TabiloAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Tabilo (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.