Tennis · resolved market
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717f115a07989c39e3b09a9dea9aeab738956bc47b91ef4e15b029f9a747ef06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 10,501$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.49 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 7,474$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 2,758$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.4 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 2,279$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 1,564$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.34 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 1,495$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 1,386$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.64 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 1,201$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.5 | 34c | 1,117$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.22 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 1,055$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 999.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 738.47$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 527.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 431.62$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 398.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over 3.5 | 68c | 312.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.32 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 310$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 299.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 266.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 249.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 225.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over 3.5 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 194$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 170.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 137.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 123.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 105.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 100.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 100.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 79.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 76.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 74.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked Under 3.5 | 21c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…1351backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 57.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 51.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 42.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 31.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…48c1backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over 3.5 | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloYes won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs TabiloAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Tabilo (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.