MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ec3207ae2883181b31603c2f7b776319dfe203029bb74ebce3e5f1df000710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,230,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 172,534$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 169,797$65,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,303.05 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 167,944$97,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,402.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 39,121$21,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,907.87 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 38,715$19,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,452.2 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Chicago White Sox | 6c | 28,810$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.17 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 25,337$9,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,708.84 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 24,135$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,037.49 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 23,194$10,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,988.42 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 19,003$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,781.62 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 16,879$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 16,395$9,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,517.99 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 14,570$10,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.43 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…7095backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 14,016$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 13,172$9,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 12,704$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 11,110$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.94 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 9,320$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 6,589$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.89 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 6,515$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 5,288$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 4,366$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 4,226$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.22 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,151$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 3,765$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 3,700$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 3,122$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.68 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,662$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,636$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.96 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 2,110$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…b4c8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,096$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 2,038$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,971$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.72 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,757$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.97 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 1,532$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.93 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,440$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.16 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,420$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.57 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Chicago White Sox | 15c | 1,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,189$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Chicago White Sox | 10c | 1,093$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 1,004$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.07 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a268backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 1,004$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 997.11$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.05 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 993.24$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 981.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 953.8$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 944.41$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.56 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 795.29$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 779.8$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 761.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.21 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 731.39$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.58 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 718.85$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 677$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 649$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.76 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 644.12$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 642.46$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 503.1$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 482.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 480.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 455.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 430.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 425$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 420$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 383.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…a2d2backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 365.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 348.1$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 340.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 339.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 328.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 326.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 315.28$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 301.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f3a2backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 275.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 271.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 264.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 262.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 251.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 247.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 242.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 237.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 11c | 233.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 229.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 217.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 210.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 210.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Chicago White Sox | 23c | 205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Chicago White Sox | 12c | 201.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.