MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ba23aa9f8a564dbb6c6a68f2c0aa057a5939427c1a33850eb96bf974661bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 49c | 18,763$9,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.05 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 8,540$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 7c | 5,663$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.86 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 18c | 5,231$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 4,543$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.76 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 2,919$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 2,262$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 2,061$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 2,018$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,875$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.75 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 1,458$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.66 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.72 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 1,234$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.97 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 1c | 1,196$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 7c | 1,011$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.49 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 78c | 985.83$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 34c | 921.56$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.65 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 916.25$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 52c | 877.96$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.54 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 66c | 815$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 47c | 737.64$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 7c | 714.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.4 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 7c | 674.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.22 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 668.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.77 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 34c | 604.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 586.76$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 46c | 551.14$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.29 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 5c | 551.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.46 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 36c | 500.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 456$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 50c | 440.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 423.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 35c | 419.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 406.6$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 361.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 12c | 345.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 69c | 312.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 277.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 268.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 267.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 7c | 253.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 7c | 234.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 53c | 219.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 54c | 202.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 55c | 189.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 189.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 156.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 154.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +11.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…458fbacked Under | 53c | 145.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 47c | 137.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 120.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 47c | 113.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 104.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 54c | 100.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 54c | 97.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 50c | 92.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 35c | 79.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Under | 52c | 76.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 70.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 62.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 51c | 46.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 46.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 52c | 44.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 43c | 39.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 49c | 33.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 52c | 30.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Under | 48c | 30.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 42c | 29.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 67c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White SoxWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.