South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x315d7926bb5ddee00b6b9c3eb6c707cebaa6b86341a779cd556e064880126ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 5,784$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.29 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,029$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…24f8backed Yes | 16c | 516.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 12c | 513.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 18c | 364.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 224.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 19c | 223.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 10c | 186.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 19c | 164.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 12c | 157.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 152.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 134.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 16c | 111.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 10c | 108.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 16c | 99.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 91.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 81.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Yes | 18c | 74.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 18c | 58.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 43.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.