South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32f0f549effaf9e91a436079ab9c516f67dc0efa7b0cfbf110f34996672c955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 3,023$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 34c | 2,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked No | 17c | 1,677$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 74c | 1,009$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 21c | 693.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 18c | 638.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 18c | 591.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 17c | 580.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 47c | 438.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 408.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 296.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 269.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 20c | 264.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 19c | 255.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 60c | 210.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 22c | 199.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 199.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 21c | 199.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 61c | 193.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 50c | 138.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 76c | 91.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 20c | 77.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 75.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 65c | 73.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 20c | 72.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 79c | 69.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 60c | 67.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…1ba2backed Yes | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed No | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 74c | 45.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 44.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 40.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 33.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 27.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…6296backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 80c | 21.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5878…173ebacked Yes | 80c | 17.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.