TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No35c4,930$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes55c3,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…bb10backed Yes80c2,477$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes77c2,434$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.132,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes52c2,065$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No20c2,047$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3643618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes64c1,530$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.079562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No26c1,472$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.233633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c1,442$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes69c1,268$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2810155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No20c1,235$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.042948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes79c624.94$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No21c582.88$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No19c534.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.513545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Yes80c487.27$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.451580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No44c483.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6112750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No45c474.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No20c472.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.312,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c451.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.32,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…a64fbacked Yes55c412.97$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes80c380.27$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.059953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes73c357.72$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6917560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No20c319.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.971,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…01debacked Yes76c297.33$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.461250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99ec…5fbebacked Yes60c277.96$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes69c273.31$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.232864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes79c267.57$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…87fbbacked Yes78c239.64$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No46c233.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No46c233.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No23c232.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0310827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No21c212.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.721,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes80c202.75$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.551,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes51c191.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.569344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes58c168.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7519144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes67c161.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.956735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No20c157.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.431,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.722045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No12c135.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.885042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes80c127.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.496369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.794042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.252853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes75c121.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7313373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked No20c121.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.853630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes61c112.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes50c106.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3518145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x178a…88fcbacked Yes80c105.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No45c99.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8436757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No45c99.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8415956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fab…775abacked Yes54c99.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No35c96.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.564351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No21c95.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No21c94.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No42c94.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.687957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeafd…723fbacked No24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fa…41eabacked Yes58c82.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes67c73.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…c34ebacked Yes61c70.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.933745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes79c64.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5111863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a6…2d17backed Yes79c61.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes57c60.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.174562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes79c59.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51c…6de3backed Yes58c59.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes63c59.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes80c57.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5718543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No18c56.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes80c55.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3316347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x440e…76e5backed Yes58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52045%9 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No23c49.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.482369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No43c48.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Yes67c44.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0173…0216backed Yes79c36.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes64c36.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x652d…de92backed Yes80c34.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes57c34.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes76c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4429653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Yes65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd268…3eeebacked Yes65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No49c29.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5911156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.136838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3041…2245backed Yes63c29.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes80c25.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.173,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes58c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0810654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes58c23.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.885944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…37e6backed Yes58c22.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Yes71c22.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.417265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes57c22.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.592646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea9…be41backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x747b…16fcbacked Yes79c18.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.981376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3684…e439backed Yes73c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b9…e101backed Yes80c17.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes79c13.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.88265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…54b2backed Yes80c12.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.510880.6%87 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.