TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No55c2,087$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.045,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes51c1,523$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.488834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes43c1,421$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c878.96$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked No78c553.57$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes9c525.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2724654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No48c504.56$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes51c392.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9913746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes53c380.02$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9212153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No29c327.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.331866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No29c322.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6814823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.483432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No49c285.04$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3712552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c278.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.741,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c202.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9412550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10118544.3%82 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x938d…82bcbacked No51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes8c185.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0926336.5%96 W · 167 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c177.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9320420.1%41 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.333452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c159.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0953148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No50c155.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.619048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No44c151.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.227964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes53c149.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7518647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…2bc1backed No52c135.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked No39c119.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce6…9b55backed Yes52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+228.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3123755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.532744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes25c94.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9838737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c88.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.91,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No49c87.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4111764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.086738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes53c82.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.799444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Yes51c75.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes68c74.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.011,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes75c65.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.253857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…8665backed Yes53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.01650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes50c63.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7734560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0818445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No51c55.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.976460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Yes51c55.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes74c55.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5734558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c54.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.173063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c51.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4749044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes77c51.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.455064%32 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes50c47.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes66c46.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5182053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes53c45.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No49c45.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c40.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3146422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked No49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes73c39.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.443658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1f…fcb4backed Yes50c38.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes51c37.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes54c37.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.336341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1948…9f98backed Yes52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba3…2068backed Yes51c36.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No28c35.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7211023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes75c35.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes50c33.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7339561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Yes53c31.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.782475%18 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x747b…16fcbacked Yes76c31.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8408backed Yes54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes75c29.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes71c27.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6524162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed No80c27.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No47c27.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411853.4%63 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked No51c24.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Yes51c22.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Yes72c21.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes72c17.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7439058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes72c14.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.